Abstract

October 29, 2003

Világi Balázs (BKÁE)

The Optimal Euro Conversion Rate in a Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Model

In this paper we consider how a small open EMU accession country should choose its Euro conversion rate. We study the problem by a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model. We interpret the Monetary Union as a perfectly credible infinite nominal exchange rate peg, and given the vector of initial conditions and exogenous factors we compare the paths of the endogenous variables induced by different levels of the fixed exchange rate. Finally we provide a welfare ranking of these paths by a social utility function derived from the model.